Herrera FC vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
AZU
0 - 0
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AZU
0 - 0
SMA
39%
28%
34%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CEN
3 - 3
AZU
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
AZU
1 - 2
CHI
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
OES
2 - 2
AZU
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 2
OES
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SUN
1 - 2
CEN
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CEN
3 - 3
AZU
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
CEN
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 0
RIO
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |