Aznalcazar, C.D. vs Círculo Don Bosco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aznalcazar, C.D.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
AZN
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
AZN
1 - 5
SAN
46%
23%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 3
AZN
60%
21%
20%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
AZN
3 - 2
PAL
55%
21%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ESC
2 - 2
AZN
18%
20%
62%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Círculo Don Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CIR
1 - 0
TRI
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
HER
5 - 2
CIR
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CIR
2 - 2
ADP
35%
24%
42%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CIR
1 - 2
PIL
74%
15%
11%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
CIR
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |