Azkoyen vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azkoyen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MEN
2 - 2
AZK
60%
22%
19%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
AZK
3 - 1
CDO
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
AZK
35%
25%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
AZK
1 - 1
CDL
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AZK
1 - 2
LOU
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ALU
1 - 1
LOU
27%
26%
48%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LAP
1 - 1
ALU
60%
21%
19%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ALU
1 - 0
FAL
53%
23%
24%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
IDO
4 - 1
ALU
72%
18%
11%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ALU
2 - 3
RIB
68%
20%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |