Azerbaijan vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.6%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
+1
5.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.6%
73.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
20.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
27.8%
0-2
18.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
23.2%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2000 |
MKD
2 - 1
AZE
73%
17%
11%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
AZE
0 - 0
GEO
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2000 |
AZE
0 - 0
AND
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2000 |
ALB
1 - 0
AZE
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
MLT
3 - 0
AZE
35%
25%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
ISL
2 - 1
SWE
17%
26%
56%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2000 |
ITA
2 - 1
SWE
62%
22%
17%
|
94 | 97 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2000 |
SWE
0 - 0
TUR
82%
13%
5%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2000 |
BEL
2 - 1
SWE
33%
27%
41%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
SWE
1 - 1
ESP
32%
27%
42%
|
95 | 98 | 3 | 0 |