Azerbaijan vs Qatar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
64.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
AZE
1 - 3
LUX
44%
25%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SRB
3 - 1
AZE
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AZE
0 - 3
IRL
15%
27%
57%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
AZE
0 - 3
POR
1%
12%
87%
|
61 | 92 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
IRL
1 - 1
AZE
71%
20%
9%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
SRB
4 - 0
QAT
62%
21%
18%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
IRL
4 - 0
QAT
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
POR
3 - 0
QAT
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
LUX
1 - 1
QAT
13%
21%
65%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
QAT
1 - 3
POR
12%
21%
67%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |