Azerbaijan vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
61.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SMR
0 - 1
AZE
17%
22%
61%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 1
AZE
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
MKD
3 - 1
AZE
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
AZE
0 - 0
AND
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AZE
0 - 1
KAZ
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 3
GER
9%
17%
74%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 1
BLR
59%
24%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 2
NOR
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
NOR
3 - 2
ISL
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
POR
3 - 0
NOR
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |