Azerbaijan vs Mongolia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
5 - 0
AZE
92%
6%
2%
|
67 | 93 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
AZE
3 - 0
SWE
9%
19%
72%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
AZE
0 - 1
AUT
9%
19%
72%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
EST
0 - 2
AZE
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
AZE
2 - 1
JOR
20%
25%
55%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MNG
0 - 1
AFG
20%
20%
60%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
AFG
1 - 0
MNG
64%
19%
16%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 0
MNG
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
MNG
0 - 0
LBN
11%
18%
71%
|
30 | 64 | 34 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
IND
2 - 0
MNG
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | -1 |