Azerbaijan vs Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
51.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
AZE
0 - 1
BLR
19%
25%
56%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
AZE
0 - 0
MDA
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
GER
5 - 1
AZE
95%
5%
1%
|
64 | 94 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
AZE
1 - 2
CZE
14%
23%
63%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
AZE
5 - 1
SMR
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 26 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
FIN
0 - 0
MKD
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MKD
2 - 0
NOR
30%
26%
45%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
MKD
4 - 0
LIE
86%
12%
3%
|
75 | 28 | 47 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 1
MKD
82%
14%
4%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
MKD
1 - 1
ALB
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |