Azerbaijan vs Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
49.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
AZE
1 - 3
GER
7%
17%
76%
|
68 | 97 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
KAZ
2 - 1
AZE
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
BEL
4 - 1
AZE
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
AZE
0 - 2
HUN
15%
23%
62%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
MNE
2 - 0
AZE
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
MKD
0 - 2
IRL
21%
27%
53%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
IRL
2 - 1
MKD
71%
20%
10%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
MKD
0 - 1
CMR
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
CHN
1 - 0
MKD
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
ALB
0 - 0
MKD
38%
28%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |