Azerbaijan vs Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
50.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2010 |
AZE
1 - 1
MDA
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
LUX
1 - 2
AZE
17%
24%
59%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
JOR
0 - 2
AZE
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
AZE
2 - 0
CZE
12%
25%
63%
|
66 | 94 | 28 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
IRQ
1 - 0
AZE
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
MKD
2 - 1
MNE
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
IRN
1 - 1
MKD
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
MKD
3 - 0
CAN
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MKD
2 - 1
QAT
44%
26%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 1
MKD
72%
19%
9%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |