Azerbaijan vs Andorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2000 |
ALB
1 - 0
AZE
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
MLT
3 - 0
AZE
35%
25%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
AZE
0 - 1
SVK
15%
24%
61%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
HUN
3 - 0
AZE
89%
9%
3%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
AZE
1 - 1
POR
9%
22%
70%
|
66 | 93 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2000 |
MLT
1 - 1
AND
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
ALB
3 - 0
AND
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
AND
0 - 3
ARM
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
AND
1 - 2
RUS
11%
21%
69%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
ISL
3 - 0
AND
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |