Azerbaijan vs Philippines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
KGZ
0 - 0
AZE
15%
21%
64%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
EST
2 - 1
AZE
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
AZE
1 - 1
RUS
8%
20%
72%
|
68 | 91 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
AZE
2 - 0
NIR
26%
28%
46%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ISR
1 - 1
AZE
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MAS
0 - 0
PHL
46%
25%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
PHL
30%
24%
46%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
HKG
0 - 1
PHL
47%
23%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
SGP
1 - 0
PHL
60%
20%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
PHL
0 - 0
SGP
32%
25%
44%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |