AFC Uttara vs Muktijoddha Sangsad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
80.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.4%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
9º
10º
11º
15
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
5 | 5 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Challenge League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Uttara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
UTT
0 - 7
MDH
11%
17%
73%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
RAH
1 - 0
UTT
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
UTT
0 - 1
FOR
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
SHJ
3 - 0
UTT
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
UTT
94%
5%
1%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Muktijoddha Sangsad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
MUK
1 - 3
BAS
21%
23%
57%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
ABA
3 - 2
MUK
81%
13%
7%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 0
MUK
61%
23%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
MUK
2 - 3
SHJ
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MDH
2 - 0
MUK
73%
17%
11%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |