AFC Uttara vs Mohammedan Dhaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
79.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
9º
10º
11º
32
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
5 | 5 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Challenge League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Uttara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SHR
1 - 0
UTT
90%
8%
2%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
UTT
1 - 2
RAH
4%
15%
81%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
UTT
1 - 1
ACH
5%
12%
83%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
BPF
4 - 0
UTT
90%
8%
2%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
UTT
0 - 1
MUK
6%
14%
81%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Mohammedan Dhaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
MDH
0 - 1
BAS
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
MDH
2 - 2
SHJ
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
ABA
2 - 0
MDH
59%
21%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
MDH
1 - 1
SHJ
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
UTT
0 - 7
MDH
11%
17%
73%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | +1 |