AZ Alkmaar vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
45.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 1
AZA
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
AZA
1 - 0
SCH
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
AZA
1 - 1
SPA
63%
20%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
GAE
1 - 3
AZA
15%
22%
63%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
AUG
1 - 1
AZA
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
HER
1 - 2
PSV
17%
21%
62%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PSV
4 - 3
SCH
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
PSV
2 - 0
EXC
80%
15%
6%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PSV
2 - 1
SCF
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BVB
4 - 1
PSV
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |