AZ Alkmaar vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TWE
2 - 2
AZA
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 2
AZA
32%
24%
43%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 0
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
FEY
3 - 1
AZA
42%
25%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AJA
4 - 1
AZA
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PSV
0 - 2
AJA
44%
25%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
ATM
0 - 0
PSV
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PSV
1 - 1
SCH
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GRO
0 - 3
PSV
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PSV
2 - 0
ADO
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |