AZ Alkmaar vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 4
AZA
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 1
AZA
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
AZA
3 - 1
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
TWE
3 - 0
AZA
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ZWO
1 - 1
AZA
42%
25%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PSV
3 - 1
UTR
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 2
PSV
15%
21%
64%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
PSV
2 - 1
WIL
68%
20%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
BVO
1 - 2
PSV
25%
24%
52%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
RJC
3 - 2
PSV
22%
22%
56%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |