AZ Alkmaar vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AZA
6 - 0
UTR
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 1
AZA
25%
26%
50%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
HER
1 - 2
AZA
34%
25%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AZA
2 - 3
AJA
22%
23%
56%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AZA
1 - 1
ADO
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PSV
2 - 3
AJA
48%
22%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 3
PSV
13%
18%
69%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
RJC
2 - 2
PSV
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
PSV
2 - 0
RKC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 1
PSV
21%
21%
57%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |