Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 3-0
AZ Alkmaar vs Häcken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
AZA
0 - 1
OOS
65%
21%
15%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
AZA
0 - 2
GEN
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
TEL
3 - 0
AZA
9%
17%
74%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
AZA
5 - 2
BRU
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
AZA
1 - 0
PAO
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Häcken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
GIF
0 - 1
HÄC
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
HÄC
3 - 0
ORE
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
NOR
2 - 1
HÄC
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
HÄC
2 - 0
HIF
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
HÄC
2 - 2
VEN
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |