AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
5º
4º
40
10º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
AZA
14%
21%
65%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
SLO
0 - 4
AZA
15%
22%
63%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
AZA
1 - 0
BOL
67%
20%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
AZA
1 - 0
SLO
73%
17%
11%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
KVC
0 - 1
AZA
27%
24%
49%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
GAE
4 - 1
OFI
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
GAE
2 - 0
RJC
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
GAE
0 - 2
JUT
75%
17%
9%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HEL
1 - 1
GAE
11%
18%
72%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
VFB
1 - 1
GAE
19%
21%
60%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |