AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
RKC
1 - 3
AZA
7%
17%
76%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 0
AZA
59%
20%
20%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
AZA
2 - 0
SPA
72%
19%
10%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
WIL
0 - 1
AZA
15%
21%
64%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
AZA
2 - 0
PSV
29%
23%
48%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
TWE
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ADO
0 - 3
FOR
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 3
FCE
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
FEY
2 - 0
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 1
UTR
19%
22%
59%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |