AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
HÄC
0 - 3
AZA
37%
24%
39%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
AZA
0 - 0
HÄC
54%
24%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
AZA
0 - 1
OOS
65%
21%
15%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
AZA
0 - 2
GEN
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
TEL
3 - 0
AZA
9%
17%
74%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 5
PAO
19%
23%
59%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
MEE
1 - 8
FOR
5%
11%
84%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
LEV
0 - 1
FOR
80%
14%
7%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
FOR
5 - 1
ARI
46%
24%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
VVS
3 - 7
FOR
3%
7%
91%
|
65 | 10 | 55 | 0 |