AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle analysis

AZ Alkmaar PEC Zwolle
82 ELO 68
12.7% Tilt 22.2%
104º General ELO ranking 375º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
72.2%
AZ Alkmaar
17.3%
Draw
10.5%
PEC Zwolle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
AZ Alkmaar
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.5%
Win probability
PEC Zwolle
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AZ Alkmaar
+1%
+3%
PEC Zwolle

ELO progression

AZ Alkmaar
PEC Zwolle
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2018
AJA
Ajax
3 - 0
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
55%
22%
23%
82 85 3 0
22 Apr. 2018
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
0 - 3
Feyenoord
FEY
47%
23%
30%
83 83 0 -1
18 Apr. 2018
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
4 - 3
Vitesse
VIT
65%
20%
15%
83 76 7 0
13 Apr. 2018
HER
Heracles
0 - 3
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
21%
22%
57%
83 71 12 0
07 Apr. 2018
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
2 - 3
PSV
PSV
27%
23%
50%
83 88 5 0

Matches

PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2018
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
0 - 1
Willem II
WIL
47%
25%
28%
70 70 0 0
17 Apr. 2018
TWE
Twente
2 - 0
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
37%
26%
37%
71 65 6 -1
14 Apr. 2018
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
1 - 1
Excelsior
EXC
51%
24%
25%
71 69 2 0
07 Apr. 2018
RJC
Roda JC
3 - 2
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
29%
26%
45%
72 65 7 -1
31 Mar. 2018
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
2 - 0
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
58%
23%
20%
70 65 5 +2