AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
AZA
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
AZA
0 - 3
FEY
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
AZA
4 - 3
VIT
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
HER
0 - 3
AZA
21%
22%
57%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 3
PSV
27%
23%
50%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ZWO
0 - 1
WIL
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
TWE
2 - 0
ZWO
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
RJC
3 - 2
ZWO
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ZWO
2 - 0
SPA
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +2 |