AZ Alkmaar vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AZA
3 - 0
SCH
72%
18%
11%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 2
AZA
43%
24%
33%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
AZA
1 - 0
WAR
74%
16%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AZA
4 - 0
FOR
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
AZA
1 - 1
HER
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ASV
4 - 1
WHU
41%
25%
34%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 1
ASV
29%
27%
45%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
ASV
1 - 0
ZRI
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
6 - 1
BHA
38%
25%
38%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
1 - 2
EVE
65%
20%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |