AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PSV
2 - 2
AZA
52%
23%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
AZA
1 - 0
TWE
47%
24%
30%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
AZA
3 - 1
GRO
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
AZA
19%
24%
57%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
LUD
2 - 2
AZA
28%
24%
48%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AJA
2 - 1
RKC
69%
18%
12%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
STU
2 - 2
AJA
65%
19%
17%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 2
AJA
22%
22%
57%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 0
TEL
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 0
ALM
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |