AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis


86	ELO	88
-3.5%	Tilt	10.2%
108º	General ELO ranking	106º
4º	Country ELO ranking	3º
ELO win probability

34.1%

AZ Alkmaar

24.5%

Draw

41.4%

Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

34.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%

24.5%

Draw

0-0

5.3%

1-1

11.4%

2-2

6.1%

3-3

1.5%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.5%

41.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AZ Alkmaar

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
27 Feb. 2022	AZA 2 - 1 FEY 39% 25% 37%	86	86	0
19 Feb. 2022	AZA 2 - 1 HER 76% 16% 8%	86	71	15
13 Feb. 2022	GAE 1 - 4 AZA 13% 21% 66%	86	72	14
09 Feb. 2022	RKC 0 - 4 AZA 12% 21% 67%	86	67	19
05 Feb. 2022	PSV 1 - 2 AZA 53% 23% 24%	86	88	2

Matches

Ajax

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
27 Feb. 2022	GAE 2 - 1 AJA 11% 18% 71%	88	72	16	0
23 Feb. 2022	SLB 2 - 2 AJA 46% 23% 31%	88	89	1	0
19 Feb. 2022	WIL 0 - 1 AJA 9% 17% 74%	88	65	23	0
13 Feb. 2022	AJA 5 - 0 TWE 75% 15% 10%	88	77	11	0
09 Feb. 2022	AJA 5 - 0 VIT 74% 16% 11%	89	82	7	-1