AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 1
AZA
11%
19%
70%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
AZA
2 - 1
SCH
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ZWO
2 - 1
AZA
10%
18%
73%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
AZA
3 - 1
VIT
52%
24%
25%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 2
AZA
8%
17%
75%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 0
ZWO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NEC
0 - 1
AJA
10%
17%
73%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
PSV
2 - 1
AJA
44%
24%
32%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 3
AJA
10%
18%
72%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |