AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
ZWO
1 - 1
AZA
25%
24%
51%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
AZA
5 - 0
HER
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VVV
0 - 2
AZA
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
AZA
2 - 0
TWE
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
RJC
0 - 1
AZA
11%
19%
70%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 1
EXC
76%
15%
8%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 0
PSV
30%
23%
46%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
TWE
3 - 3
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
AJA
5 - 1
RJC
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 1
MON
30%
24%
46%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |