AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
MTA
0 - 0
AZA
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ADO
0 - 1
AZA
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
AZA
1 - 0
FCE
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 0
AZA
20%
23%
57%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
AZA
1 - 2
MTA
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
AJA
3 - 2
CEL
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 0
EXC
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
KOZ
1 - 6
AJA
11%
20%
70%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 2
AJA
56%
23%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |