AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
51.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
HER
0 - 3
AZA
30%
26%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
HOF
3 - 0
AZA
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
VVV
0 - 2
AZA
25%
23%
53%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
GRO
3 - 0
AZA
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
AZA
0 - 0
GRO
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
AJA
4 - 1
VIT
68%
19%
14%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ZWO
1 - 0
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SLB
0 - 1
AJA
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
AJA
3 - 1
RSO
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
WIN
1 - 5
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |