AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
62.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
AZA
3 - 0
GET
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 0
AZA
13%
21%
67%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
AZA
2 - 1
PSV
25%
23%
52%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
AZA
4 - 0
ZWO
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 4
AZA
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 0
OSA
68%
20%
12%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 3
AJA
25%
23%
53%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
SGD
0 - 3
AJA
11%
18%
71%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 2
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
AJA
5 - 0
WIL
80%
15%
6%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |