AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis

AZ Alkmaar Ajax
82 ELO 89
2.7% Tilt 14.7%
104º General ELO ranking 103º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
21.9%
AZ Alkmaar
22.5%
Draw
55.6%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
AZ Alkmaar
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
55.6%
Win probability
Ajax
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AZ Alkmaar
+7%
+4%
Ajax

ELO progression

AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2013
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 1
ADO Den Haag
ADO
61%
22%
17%
82 72 10 0
03 Mar. 2013
RKC
RKC Waalwijk
2 - 1
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
23%
25%
52%
82 70 12 0
27 Feb. 2013
AJA
Ajax
0 - 3
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
67%
19%
14%
82 88 6 0
24 Feb. 2013
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
0 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
69%
19%
12%
82 70 12 0
16 Feb. 2013
RJC
Roda JC
2 - 2
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
23%
24%
54%
82 70 12 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2013
AJA
Ajax
3 - 0
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
76%
15%
8%
88 74 14 0
02 Mar. 2013
TWE
Twente
0 - 2
Ajax
AJA
28%
24%
48%
88 85 3 0
27 Feb. 2013
AJA
Ajax
0 - 3
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
67%
19%
14%
88 82 6 0
24 Feb. 2013
AJA
Ajax
1 - 1
ADO Den Haag
ADO
75%
16%
9%
88 71 17 0
21 Feb. 2013
STB
FCSB
2 - 0
Ajax
AJA
18%
21%
61%
89 79 10 -1