AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
55.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AZA
1 - 1
ADO
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RKC
2 - 1
AZA
23%
25%
52%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 3
AZA
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
AZA
0 - 1
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
RJC
2 - 2
AZA
23%
24%
54%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 0
ZWO
76%
15%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
TWE
0 - 2
AJA
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 3
AZA
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
ADO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
STB
2 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |