AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
54.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
AZA
3 - 0
EIN
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 1
AZA
18%
24%
59%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2010 |
DYN
2 - 0
AZA
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
AZA
2 - 1
FEY
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 1
AZA
31%
25%
45%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
BVV
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 1
ADO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
AUX
2 - 1
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
HER
1 - 4
AJA
12%
18%
71%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 1
SCH
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |