AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
GRA
0 - 3
AZA
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
AZA
2 - 1
TWE
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
ZWO
0 - 0
AZA
12%
21%
68%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
LIV
3 - 2
AZA
50%
25%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
AZA
2 - 0
WIL
88%
9%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
AJA
3 - 2
RJC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
UTR
3 - 5
AJA
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 1
GAE
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
PSV
3 - 0
AJA
48%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
AJA
2 - 2
NAC
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |