AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
AZA
7 - 1
ADO
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
SPA
2 - 3
AZA
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
AZA
8 - 1
NEC
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
MVV
1 - 3
AZA
30%
27%
44%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
AZA
3 - 0
UTR
72%
17%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1978 |
AJA
2 - 0
BUD
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
AJA
7 - 3
VOL
83%
11%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
ADO
0 - 0
AJA
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1978 |
BUD
4 - 1
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
AJA
1 - 2
RJC
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |