Jong AZ vs Willem II U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
DOR
1 - 4
ALK
10%
17%
74%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
VVV
0 - 1
ALK
19%
21%
61%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ALK
12 - 2
VOL
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 3
ALK
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ALK
3 - 3
ROD
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
VVV
2 - 1
WIL
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 1
PEC
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 1
DOR
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
ADO
2 - 2
WIL
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 1
GRA
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |