Jong AZ vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
EIN
3 - 0
ALK
54%
22%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
ALK
2 - 6
VOL
25%
23%
52%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
JON
3 - 2
ALK
75%
16%
10%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
ALK
3 - 3
MVV
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
FCD
2 - 0
ALK
34%
24%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
HER
3 - 0
TEL
67%
19%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
TEL
2 - 0
HEL
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
RJC
1 - 1
TEL
41%
26%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
TEL
1 - 1
FCO
66%
20%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
PSV
3 - 0
TEL
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |