Jong AZ vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
ALK
3 - 1
FCO
32%
23%
45%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
TEL
2 - 1
ALK
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
ALK
1 - 1
BOS
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2018 |
ALK
0 - 1
BVO
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
RKC
1 - 0
ALK
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
VOL
2 - 0
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 2
FCE
52%
23%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
FCD
3 - 0
FOR
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 1
JON
34%
24%
42%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 1
JUT
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |