AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Willem II U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
UTR
0 - 1
ALK
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ALK
3 - 0
VIT
59%
19%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PSV
1 - 0
ALK
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
ALK
2 - 5
AJA
33%
22%
44%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
NEC
0 - 3
ALK
33%
23%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PSV
3 - 0
WIL
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 0
UTR
21%
23%
57%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AJA
5 - 1
WIL
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
WIL
3 - 0
NEC
37%
23%
40%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FEY
3 - 0
WIL
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |