Aywaille vs Lorraine Arlon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aywaille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
AYW
6 - 2
MOR
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BIE
1 - 1
AYW
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
AYW
2 - 5
FAY
51%
23%
27%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
OLY
0 - 2
AYW
63%
21%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AYW
2 - 1
LIE
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lorraine Arlon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LOR
5 - 1
BIE
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FAY
2 - 0
LOR
82%
11%
7%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
OLY
25%
24%
51%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LIE
5 - 1
LOR
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 3
NAM
35%
24%
42%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |