Ayutthaya vs Nonthaburi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayutthaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AYU
3 - 1
SAM
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
AYU
1 - 0
TTM
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 1
AYU
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AYU
1 - 1
KRA
31%
27%
42%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
PRA
2 - 2
AYU
61%
21%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nonthaburi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
RAM
2 - 2
NON
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
KTH
1 - 0
NON
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NON
0 - 1
RAP
22%
23%
55%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LOO
3 - 3
NON
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NON
0 - 2
PTS
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |