Dep. Ayutla vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Ayutla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 0
AYU
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
AYU
3 - 0
IZT
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
SPD
3 - 1
AYU
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
AYU
3 - 2
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 0
AYU
45%
27%
28%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
NUE
4 - 1
HUE
40%
25%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NUE
1 - 2
DEP
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
IZT
3 - 1
NUE
42%
24%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
NUE
1 - 0
SPD
56%
22%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 0
NUE
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |