Dep. Ayutla vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Ayutla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
IZT
3 - 1
AYU
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 1
AYU
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AYU
0 - 1
PUE
59%
22%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
AYU
4 - 0
SPD
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 1
AYU
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
NUE
3 - 0
AUR
46%
25%
30%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
NUE
1 - 1
SPD
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 1
NUE
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
NUE
5 - 0
HUE
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
IZT
3 - 3
NUE
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |