Dep. Ayutla vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Ayutla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 1
AYU
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
AYU
1 - 1
HUE
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 1
AYU
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AYU
1 - 1
LAG
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SPD
1 - 0
AYU
49%
25%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
NUE
1 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
NUE
2 - 3
PUE
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
DEP
4 - 0
NUE
77%
16%
8%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
NUE
3 - 1
HUE
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 0
NUE
45%
26%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |