Dep. Ayutla vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Ayutla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SPD
1 - 0
AYU
37%
26%
38%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
AYU
3 - 1
PUE
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
AYU
1 - 0
ANT
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
IZT
2 - 2
AYU
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AYU
1 - 1
AUR
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
NUE
2 - 2
ANT
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
IZT
3 - 1
NUE
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
NUE
2 - 1
AUR
48%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
LAG
3 - 0
NUE
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
COA
3 - 1
NUE
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |