Dep. Ayutla vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Ayutla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
IZT
2 - 0
AYU
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
AYU
3 - 1
LAG
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
AYU
49%
26%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
AYU
0 - 1
ANT
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 0
AYU
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NUE
3 - 0
RET
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
NUE
5 - 2
IZT
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 2
NUE
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NUE
1 - 0
AUR
39%
26%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ANT
3 - 1
NUE
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |