Dep. Ayutla vs Barillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Ayutla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
PUE
5 - 2
AYU
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
HUE
2 - 0
AYU
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
AYU
3 - 1
SPD
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LAG
3 - 2
AYU
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
AYU
1 - 0
DEP
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SPD
2 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
DEP
28%
26%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SPD
3 - 0
BAR
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
DEP
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |