Dep. Ayutla vs Barillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Ayutla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
NUE
4 - 0
AYU
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
AYU
3 - 1
DEP
23%
26%
52%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
HUE
3 - 1
AYU
45%
26%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AYU
5 - 0
AUR
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LAG
2 - 0
AYU
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PUE
1 - 0
BAR
47%
26%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
5 - 0
NUE
53%
23%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
BAR
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
HUE
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 1
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |