Ayrón vs Velarde CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayrón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
RIN
1 - 1
AYR
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
GIM
0 - 2
AYR
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
AYR
2 - 0
SAM
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
GAM
2 - 0
AYR
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
AYR
0 - 1
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 0
GIM
16%
23%
61%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SAM
5 - 1
VEL
77%
15%
8%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 3
GAM
10%
16%
74%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 3
VEL
83%
12%
5%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 4
COM
14%
21%
65%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |