Ayr United vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1935 |
AYR
0 - 2
CEL
29%
22%
49%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1935 |
DUN
2 - 1
AYR
57%
20%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1935 |
AIR
3 - 0
AYR
54%
19%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1935 |
AYR
3 - 0
HIB
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1935 |
DUN
6 - 1
AYR
70%
16%
15%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1935 |
DUN
1 - 0
TLA
54%
20%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1935 |
TLA
1 - 1
HIB
69%
16%
15%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1935 |
PAR
0 - 0
TLA
66%
17%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1935 |
TLA
2 - 1
MHE
31%
20%
49%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1935 |
AIR
1 - 2
TLA
61%
18%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |